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Overunity Machines Forum



quentron.com

Started by Philip Hardcastle, April 04, 2012, 05:00:30 AM

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sarkeizen

Quote from: profitis on June 19, 2014, 09:01:33 PM
Maybe @mark E,however,if you play the lottery you stand about one in 40million chances of winning.if a random stranger comes to you and tells you he's going to build you the finest everlasting battery you ever saw,its a coin toss that he's going to do it.either he is or he isn't.
See here's where I think we're seeing profitis's "true stupidity" it would take a smart person significant amount of effort to try to be this dumb.

By profitis's """""logic""""" the lottery is a coin flip.  Either you win or you don't.

profitis

No @sarkeizen.its a one in two chance that I will build for you the same thing that karpen built for you,only more powerful.

sarkeizen

Quote from: profitis on June 20, 2014, 07:42:41 AM
No @sarkeizen.its a one in two chance that I will build for you the same thing that karpen built for you,only more powerful.
You appear to be stating that by virtue of having two outcome states (success or failure) this represents a probability of 1 in 2.   If so, this is probably the single most mathematically ignorant statement I've seen on OU....and as you can imagine that's up against some pretty stiff competition.

Clearly any continuous outcome can be broken down into an arbitrary number of of discrete outcomes if the total probability of the continuous outcome is X clearly the sum of all discrete outcomes must be X.  Hence not all binary outcomes have a probability of 0.5...but why would you understand that when you misunderstand so much?

minnie




   The Karpen thingy seems to be just a curiosity and of no practical use so I
would think the odds are fairly well stacked against profitis building anything
useful.
        John

profitis

Well the chances are still a heck of a lot better than a lottery mr sarkeizen. Chek this interview: me:'hi I'l replicate  karpens pile for you better than karpen did because I know how it works'. Labguy: 'oh yeah?' Me: 'hehe.'