So, which OU gurus research do you trust ?

[sarkeizen]

Russ is an honest and talented guy.  If someday he thinks that he has got the goods working then whatever he has will deserve a close look.

See I'm pretty sure this isn't correct.  It requires the odds of free energy to be within a few orders of magnitude of Russ's error rate.  If the odds of finding free energy are closer to 1:10^100000000000000000000000000 then Russ can have as many good results as he wants and each time the smart money is on ignoring him.

[MarkE]

See I'm pretty sure this isn't correct.  It requires the odds of free energy to be within a few orders of magnitude of Russ's error rate.  If the odds of finding free energy are closer to 1:10^100000000000000000000000000 then Russ can have as many good results as he wants and each time the smart money is on ignoring him.

The odds against an honest and talented person like Russ really thinking they have found something extraordinary when they have not are pretty huge.  They are not nearly as huge as the odds against anyone discovering a new energy source.  But they are still pretty big because Russ is both talented and honest.  Honesty drives people towards checking their work.

I neither stated nor suggested that just because Russ may one day think that he's found an incredibly improbable thing that he would be right.  The odds against that are as they would be for anyone hard to even assess.  I stated:

whatever he has will deserve a close look

That's what we should do when people who are bright and diligent think they see something unusual.  Most of the time we learn about mistakes and that helps us do better avoiding mistakes in the future.  On rare occasions we confirm a discovery.

[wattsup]

Hahahahahahaha What a question.

OK, try this, no one after 1750.

Except Tesla and all OUers who share open source.

wattsup

[TechStuf]

The world is at the brink of world war.  Opec is dropping the price of oil in order to undermine the profits of fracking.  Petroleum anchored economies are poised to self detonate.  The powers that be have already usurped, (and planned the distribution of), the benefits of a post petroleum world, and are preparing to rid the world of all who are judged unworthy to be allowed to share it with them.

Your question concerning OU gurus and trust might encourage more meaningful answers after the fall.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KYW5OGWfqJc

I hear the movie, San Andreas, starring Dwayne Johnson, has leaked on the net....it is planned for release next summer.  Interesting trailer.



TS

[sarkeizen]

That's what we should do when people who are bright and diligent think they see something unusual.

...as long as the outcome is likely.  If the outcome is not likely (or exceptionally unlikely) then you are always wasting your time.  Your "learning about mistakes" argument is a) moving the goalposts somewhat and b) has exactly the same decision making flaw as the idea that every idea from someone who meets your criteria for "brightness" and "diligence" absolutely necessitates attention.