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Let's Discuss These Predictions....

Started by AnaA, December 03, 2008, 06:12:03 PM

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AnaA

The first link below takes you to a long list of prophecies that were
issued in the mid-1990's, that have all come to pass exactly as
predicted. It also provides you with a link to Yahoo's Official
Archives which prove they were issued in writing, in the 1990's.

As you will see: Every detail, to include our wars with Iraq, the
actors involved, and how it will end, was prophesied in writing, in
the 1990's. Every aspect of which is now showing up in our evening
news. It even has a link to his prophecy concerning America's
Vanity.

http://www.theamericannightmare.org/n-iDDD1122_We_Better_Hope.html

The following link will take you to the prophesied food shortage,
which at the top provides you with a list of 23 other such prophesied
events that have come to pass.

http://www.theamericannightmare.org/n-iDDD1019_F-S.html

The second link takes you to a page that contains all the prophecies
that were issued at the same time as the above, which have NOT
YET come to pass, and are also in Yahoo's Official Archives, which
prove they too were issued in writing, in the 1990's. As an American
you had better hope these prophecies DO NOT come to pass.

The following link takes you to his prophecy that 10,000 Americans
will be killed by a terrorist attack, but as well provides you with an
index of 14 other prophecies that have not yet come to pass.

http://www.theamericannightmare.org/n-iDDD1019_10K-K.html

Just as it was prophesied that our economy would collapse in 2008.

http://www.theamericannightmare.org/n-iDDD1019_ECON.html

Let me know what you think.

Ana

b0rg13

hmmm, my first thoughts would be,....look at history, you have a bunch of mother beepers in power, and so shit happens,nothing has changed or will change because of the current system in place,..

....sooooo im going to predict, LOTS more shit will happen.

...how did i do ?.
if you want to get out of the rat race,you have to let go of the cheese.


TinselKoala

Are we talking about the events, or the predictions?
Does it seem remarkable that these predictions were made, and then came true?

There are all kinds of ways in to this issue. If you are stunned by the accuracy of the predictions and would like an explanation, or explanations, for the prescience of the seers, futurists, psychics, trend analyzers, dreamers, and whatnots, no doubt there are many. But first you should ask about the predictions that haven't come to pass, and won't. These are forgotten and never discussed. The "availability heuristic" causes us to focus on those events that are reported and remarked upon. Successful predictions are remembered; they are news; the predictors especially won't let you forget them. But the failures are buried.
Also consider those events that happened, but weren't predicted by anyone. There are lots and lots of those. And of course, the most obscure category of all, those events that weren't predicted, and didn't happen.
Technically this set of four possibilities can be called a "response matrix" and consists of scores in 4 cells (not shouting, just emphasizing technical terms): HITS, those events predicted that did occur. MISSES, those events not predicted that did occur. FALSE ALARMS, those events predicted that did not occur. CORRECT REJECTIONS, those events not predicted and not occurring, or those events predicted not to occur which did not in fact occur.
So when all these categories are considered and tallied, it is likely that the number of MISSES and FALSE ALARMS is very much larger than the number of HITS or CORRECT REJECTIONS. But it is the HITS we notice and remember, and so they seem more remarkable and unusual than they really are.

This is not to consider the prior probability of a particular prediction being true. If for example I predict that, in 8 years, Americans will elect yet another idiot idealog to the presidency, there is a strong prior probability that this prediction is correct, based on past performance and other factors. Many of the predictions cited by Ana fall into the category of high prior probability.

In other words, wow! Awesome! Are we doomed or what??? :) lol...

Pirate88179

Yes, I agree with Tinselkoala.  It is kind of like I play a roulette wheel with 25 numbers on it.  I bet all 25 numbers and, wow, low and behold, my number that I bet wins!  No one looks at or remembers that I bet the other 24, they only know and remember I bet the one that won.  This has been going on for centuries.  Probability is that if you predict something long enough, eventually it will come true.  This is my .000237 cents worth. (Dollar being devalued and all with the bailouts.)



Bill
See the Joule thief Circuit Diagrams, etc. topic here:
http://www.overunity.com/index.php?topic=6942.0;topicseen